BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 142 Overall: (19-12) Overall Strength = 35.94
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (13-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (19-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W * 42.37 87 76 1 168 (17-14) Dayton 6.11 4.89
2 11-09-2025 Away L 51.49 65 75 1 28 (21-11) Illinois 15.23 -25.23
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 58.27 101 52 1 348 ( 9-23) Chicago St 22.02 * 26.98
4 11-18-2025 Away W * 49.16 59 44 1 196 (14-17) Loyola-Chicago 12.91 2.09
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 32.99 81 75 1 218 (12-21) Saint Louis -3.27 9.27
6 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 42.95 72 75 1 1 66 (27- 4) Rice 6.70 -9.70
7 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 31.41 66 73 1 114 (22- 9) East Carolina -4.84 -2.16
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 25.90 44 57 1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest -10.35 -2.65
9 12-03-2025 Away L * * 26.96 54 68 1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa -9.30 -4.70
10 12-07-2025 Home W * 34.07 64 46 1 314 ( 4-27) E Illinois -2.19 20.19
11 12-14-2025 Away L 22.15 44 85 1 30 (18-12) Nebraska -14.10 * -26.90
12 12-19-2025 Home W * 46.07 89 66 1 257 (10-21) Oakland 9.82 13.18
13 12-29-2025 Home W * * 58.30 105 64 1 309 ( 9-21) Indiana St 22.05 18.95
14 01-02-2026 Away L * * 37.75 93 101 2 1 81 (29- 3) Murray St 1.49 -9.49
15 01-04-2026 Away L * * 36.74 68 75 1 99 (20-11) Belmont 0.48 -7.48
16 01-08-2026 Home W * * 43.01 75 61 1 191 (14-17) IL Chicago 6.75 7.25
17 01-11-2026 Home W * * 32.06 82 71 1 266 ( 7-24) Evansville -4.20 15.20
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 22.95 93 74 1 353 ( 0-31) Valparaiso -13.31 * 32.31
19 01-22-2026 Away L * * 22.30 64 76 1 191 (14-17) IL Chicago -13.95 1.95
20 01-25-2026 Away W * * 38.60 85 69 1 309 ( 9-21) Indiana St 2.34 13.66
21 01-29-2026 Home W * * 39.66 59 55 1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa 3.41 0.59
22 02-01-2026 Home W * * 36.01 58 54 1 1 155 (20-11) Bradley -0.24 4.24
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 34.95 77 70 1 210 (11-19) Drake -1.30 8.30
24 02-13-2026 Away L * * 2.51 60 84 1 276 (10-19) S Illinois -33.75 9.75
25 02-15-2026 Away W * * 39.35 88 75 1 266 ( 7-24) Evansville 3.10 9.90
26 02-20-2026 Home W * * 43.44 83 78 1 1 99 (20-11) Belmont 7.19 -2.19
27 02-22-2026 Home L * * 29.45 62 73 1 81 (29- 3) Murray St -6.80 -4.20
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 39.21 78 60 1 276 (10-19) S Illinois 2.96 15.04
29 02-28-2026 Away W * * 50.24 83 42 1 353 ( 0-31) Valparaiso 13.99 * 27.01
30 03-05-2026 Away L * * 15.24 55 73 1 210 (11-19) Drake -21.01 3.01
31 03-08-2026 Away W * * 38.31 66 65 1 155 (20-11) Bradley 2.06 -1.06
Averages 36.25 72.9 68.1
Best game: 58.30 = 41 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: 2.51 = 24 point loss to S Illinois
Team stdev: 12.02