BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 139 Overall: (24-13) Overall Strength = 36.34
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (14-8) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-10)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W * 42.61 87 76 1 170 (17-14) Dayton 5.64 5.36
2 11-09-2025 Away L 51.33 65 75 1 28 (22-12) Illinois 14.36 -24.36
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 58.68 101 52 1 348 ( 9-23) Chicago St 21.71 * 27.29
4 11-18-2025 Away W * 49.77 59 44 1 192 (16-18) Loyola-Chicago 12.80 2.20
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 33.23 81 75 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -3.73 9.73
6 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 42.69 72 75 1 1 67 (29- 6) Rice 5.73 -8.73
7 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 31.49 66 73 1 118 (22-10) East Carolina -5.47 -1.53
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 25.40 44 57 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -11.57 -1.43
9 12-03-2025 Away L * * 26.77 54 68 1 128 (18-14) Northern Iowa -10.20 -3.80
10 12-07-2025 Home W * 33.88 64 46 1 317 ( 4-27) E Illinois -3.09 21.09
11 12-14-2025 Away L 22.10 44 85 1 30 (19-13) Nebraska -14.87 -26.13
12 12-19-2025 Home W * 46.25 89 66 1 255 (10-21) Oakland 9.28 13.72
13 12-29-2025 Home W * * 59.07 105 64 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St 22.10 18.90
14 01-02-2026 Away L * * 37.80 93 101 2 1 82 (32- 4) Murray St 0.83 -8.83
15 01-04-2026 Away L * * 36.15 68 75 1 103 (20-12) Belmont -0.82 -6.18
16 01-08-2026 Home W * * 42.80 75 61 1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago 5.84 8.16
17 01-11-2026 Home W * * 33.74 82 71 1 254 (10-25) Evansville -3.23 14.23
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 23.05 93 74 1 353 ( 0-32) Valparaiso -13.92 * 32.92
19 01-22-2026 Away L * * 22.17 64 76 1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago -14.80 2.80
20 01-25-2026 Away W * * 39.44 85 69 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St 2.47 13.53
21 01-29-2026 Home W * * 39.40 59 55 1 128 (18-14) Northern Iowa 2.43 1.57
22 02-01-2026 Home W * * 36.21 58 54 1 1 154 (20-13) Bradley -0.76 4.76
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 35.01 77 70 1 213 (12-20) Drake -1.95 8.95
24 02-13-2026 Away L * * 2.26 60 84 1 281 (10-20) S Illinois -34.70 10.70
25 02-15-2026 Away W * * 41.11 88 75 1 254 (10-25) Evansville 4.14 8.86
26 02-20-2026 Home W * * 42.78 83 78 1 1 103 (20-12) Belmont 5.82 -0.82
27 02-22-2026 Home L * * 29.43 62 73 1 82 (32- 4) Murray St -7.53 -3.47
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 38.90 78 60 1 281 (10-20) S Illinois 1.93 16.07
29 02-28-2026 Away W * * 50.41 83 42 1 353 ( 0-32) Valparaiso 13.45 * 27.55
30 03-05-2026 Away L * * 15.38 55 73 1 213 (12-20) Drake -21.59 3.59
31 03-08-2026 Away W * * 38.57 66 65 1 154 (20-13) Bradley 1.61 -0.61
32 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 37.70 69 62 1 213 (12-20) Drake 0.73 6.27
33 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 20.42 70 75 1 1 254 (10-25) Evansville -16.54 11.54
34 03-22-2026 Home W * 55.23 81 52 1 225 (21-14) UTRGV 18.26 10.74
35 03-27-2026 Home W * 39.34 59 55 1 123 (23-11) Abilene Chr 2.38 1.62
36 03-30-2026 Home W * 39.64 61 53 1 166 (18-18) G Washington 2.67 5.33
37 04-01-2026 Away W * 47.52 67 60 1 115 (26-10) South Dakota 10.56 -3.56
38 04/04/2026 Neutral * 1 97 (27- 9) Marshall -5.28
Averages 36.97 72.1 66.7
Best game: 59.07 = 41 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: 2.26 = 24 point loss to S Illinois
Team stdev: 11.98