BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 138 Overall: (24-14) Overall Strength = 36.43
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (14-8) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-11)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W * 42.56 87 76 1 170 (17-14) Dayton 6.12 4.88
2 11-09-2025 Away L 51.38 65 75 1 28 (22-12) Illinois 14.94 -24.94
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 58.65 101 52 1 348 ( 9-23) Chicago St 22.21 26.79
4 11-18-2025 Away W * 49.72 59 44 1 193 (16-18) Loyola-Chicago 13.28 1.72
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 33.19 81 75 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -3.26 9.26
6 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 42.67 72 75 1 1 67 (29- 6) Rice 6.23 -9.23
7 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 31.48 66 73 1 118 (22-10) East Carolina -4.97 -2.03
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 25.38 44 57 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -11.07 -1.93
9 12-03-2025 Away L * * 26.68 54 68 1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa -9.77 -4.23
10 12-07-2025 Home W * 33.85 64 46 1 317 ( 4-27) E Illinois -2.59 20.59
11 12-14-2025 Away L 22.15 44 85 1 30 (19-13) Nebraska -14.30 -26.70
12 12-19-2025 Home W * 46.24 89 66 1 254 (10-21) Oakland 9.80 13.20
13 12-29-2025 Home W * * 58.97 105 64 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St 22.53 18.47
14 01-02-2026 Away L * * 37.71 93 101 2 1 83 (32- 4) Murray St 1.27 -9.27
15 01-04-2026 Away L * * 36.06 68 75 1 105 (20-12) Belmont -0.38 -6.62
16 01-08-2026 Home W * * 42.71 75 61 1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago 6.27 7.73
17 01-11-2026 Home W * * 33.64 82 71 1 258 (10-25) Evansville -2.81 13.81
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 22.95 93 74 1 353 ( 0-32) Valparaiso -13.49 * 32.49
19 01-22-2026 Away L * * 22.08 64 76 1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago -14.36 2.36
20 01-25-2026 Away W * * 39.35 85 69 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St 2.90 13.10
21 01-29-2026 Home W * * 39.30 59 55 1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa 2.86 1.14
22 02-01-2026 Home W * * 36.11 58 54 1 1 157 (20-13) Bradley -0.33 4.33
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 34.90 77 70 1 212 (12-20) Drake -1.54 8.54
24 02-13-2026 Away L * * 2.16 60 84 1 282 (10-20) S Illinois -34.28 10.28
25 02-15-2026 Away W * * 41.01 88 75 1 258 (10-25) Evansville 4.57 8.43
26 02-20-2026 Home W * * 42.69 83 78 1 1 105 (20-12) Belmont 6.25 -1.25
27 02-22-2026 Home L * * 29.34 62 73 1 83 (32- 4) Murray St -7.10 -3.90
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 38.79 78 60 1 282 (10-20) S Illinois 2.34 15.66
29 02-28-2026 Away W * * 50.32 83 42 1 353 ( 0-32) Valparaiso 13.88 * 27.12
30 03-05-2026 Away L * * 15.28 55 73 1 212 (12-20) Drake -21.17 3.17
31 03-08-2026 Away W * * 38.48 66 65 1 157 (20-13) Bradley 2.04 -1.04
32 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 37.59 69 62 1 212 (12-20) Drake 1.15 5.85
33 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 20.32 70 75 1 1 258 (10-25) Evansville -16.12 11.12
34 03-22-2026 Home W * 55.20 81 52 1 225 (21-14) UTRGV 18.76 10.24
35 03-27-2026 Home W * 39.33 59 55 1 124 (23-11) Abilene Chr 2.89 1.11
36 03-30-2026 Home W * 39.60 61 53 1 168 (18-18) G Washington 3.16 4.84
37 04-01-2026 Away W * 47.51 67 60 1 116 (26-10) South Dakota 11.06 -4.06
38 04-04-2026 Away L * 19.50 41 66 1 93 (28- 9) Marshall -16.95 -8.05
Averages 36.44 71.3 66.7
Best game: 58.97 = 41 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: 2.16 = 24 point loss to S Illinois
Team stdev: 12.16